Fun Economic Statistics by Presidential Administration
Since the Great Depression, 14 men have served as President of the United States, seven from each of the two major political parties. We don't think it is a coincidence that, when it comes to most economic measurements, the most successful Presidents have belonged to the Democratic Party.
We believe that the Democratic approach of demand-side economic stimulation during down times, sensible regulation, and paying down of the federal debt during good times results in the strongest economic outcomes both for the country as a whole and for individual Citizens.
What follows are some interesting economic statistics that support our thinking:
Average Annual Change in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by Presidential Administration
(Per BusinessWeek, who quotes the Bureau of Economic Analysis)
PRESIDENT
|
AVG GDP GROWTH
|
PARTY
|
Franklin Roosevelt
|
15.4%
|
Democratic
|
Lyndon Johnson
|
5.6%
|
Democratic
|
John Kennedy
|
5.4%
|
Democratic
|
Bill Clinton
|
4.2%
|
Democratic
|
Ronald Reagan
|
4.1%
|
Republican
|
Gerald Ford
|
3.3%
|
Republican
|
Dwight Eisenhower
|
3.0%
|
Republican
|
Jimmy Carter
|
2.9%
|
Democratic
|
Richard Nixon
|
2.9%
|
Republican
|
Barack Obama (thru 2014)
|
2.3%
|
Democratic
|
George H. W. Bush
|
2.1%
|
Republican
|
Harry Truman
|
2.0%
|
Democratic
|
George W. Bush
|
1.7%
|
Republican
|
Herbert Hoover
|
-6.6%
|
Republican
|
|
|
|
It should be noted that, during most of this 85+ year time span, each of these Presidents had a Congress that was willing to meet them at least halfway, even when that Congress was controlled by the opposition party. Two of the best examples of this bi-partisanship include
the Democratic Congresses led by Speaker Sam Rayburn and Senate Majority Leader Lyndon Johnson, both of whom had a good working relationship with President Eisenhower and, secondly, the Democratic Congresses led by Speaker Tip O'Neill who put country first during the Presidency of Ronald Reagan.
Unfortunately, the most notable exception to this bi-partisan approach is the current Republican-controlled House of Representatives. The House basically has thumbed their nose at President Obama and the American people since 2010, refusing to pass any job creation legislation or
student debt re-structuring legislation for fear that the President would get credit for any successful results. The country is fortunate that the Democrats ran the House during President Obama's first two years, passing a fiscal stimulus package that, while smaller than most economists felt necessary, did stop the bleeding from President Bush's Great Recession and started us on the path of a slow and steady recovery.
We won't blame Speaker Boehner and mainstream Republicans entirely for this lack of cooperation, though. The Speaker did negotiate a "Grand Bargain" with the President in 2011, only to see it fall apart because the Tea Party wing of the House GOP (who receives daily support from right-wing talk radio) refused to compromise their extremist agenda and do what was best for the country.
One final thought, this one dealing with the growth experienced during the Reagan years and the misleading lessons that today's conservatives draw from that time period. It frequently is forgotten that, while President Reagan espoused a supply-side economic philosophy and did lower tax rates for high-income individuals, his overall budget policies (developed with the Democratic majorities in Congress)
were very Keynesian in nature: he abandoned his "balance the budget" campaign rhetoric as he and the Congress worked to grow the economy via demand-side stimulus at a time when the Federal Reserve Board's tight money policies were forcing a contraction in economic activity. Perhaps that shouldn't be too surprising, however, as Citizen Reagan did vote for Franklin Roosevelt four times.
More to come……
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